PBGC Projections Report FY 2017

The PBGC releases its Fiscal Year 2017 projections report.

Document Excerpt

This year’s projections for PBGC’s Multiemployer Program show a very high likelihood of insolvency during FY 2025 and near certainty of insolvency by the end of FY 2026. Compared to last year’s projections, the risk of insolvency decreases slightly prior to fiscal year 2024 but increases significantly starting in fiscal year 2025. These changes are primarily the result of the largest troubled plan transitioning to a 100% fixed-income portfolio, which eliminates most of the uncertainty of the timing of its projected insolvency date and thus eliminates most of the uncertainty about when the plan will require PBGC financial assistance.

The Multiemployer Program continues to report deficits (i.e., negative net positions0F1) much larger than those of the Single-Employer Program. Multiemployer Program deficits are expected to grow, in nominal dollars, over time.

New results for PBGC’s Single-Employer Program are generally consistent with findings of the prior year’s report but the financial status of the program is likely to improve faster and reach a higher net surplus position compared to the projections from last year. Recent increases in asset returns and decreases in expected future claims increase the likelihood that the program will reach net surplus a few years earlier than previously projected.



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